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Scottish shoppers ‘least confident’, says IGD

IGD Shopper Confidence Index

Shopper confidence remains at one of the lowest levels on record, according to the latest IGD Shopper Confidence Index.

Despite overall confidence staying low there are significant differences in confidence around the UK, with shoppers in Scotland feeling least confident. Positivity towards the food and consumer goods industry also continues as trust sits at a seven-year high.

The IGD Shopper Confidence Index for May 2020 remained low at -10 which, despite its negative position, is the first time the figure has stayed at the same level as previous months. Expected financial confidence has increased by two points to a score of -23, with 47% of shoppers now expecting to be worse off in the year ahead, down from 50% in April.

Trust in the industry continues to buck the trend and, at +31, has remained unchanged in May.

The Index suggests that:

  1. An easing of lockdown measures and the good weather may be holding back further declines in shopper confidence for now. However, the economic impact of Covid-19 is likely to have a big impact on shopper confidence in the future.
  2. There are significant changes in shopper confidence by region, which reflects how the pandemic is impacting the country. Shopper confidence has increased the most in London, which comes as London has seen a steeper drop in Covid-19 hospital admissions over the last month than any other region. In contrast, Scottish shoppers are least confident.
  3. Older shoppers aged 45-64 remain the least confident. These shoppers, many of whom will have family responsibilities, may be concerned about the impact of Covid-19 on their health and economic prospects.

Simon Wainwright, Director of Global Insight at IGD, said: “Despite the low levels of overall confidence, it is encouraging that trust in the food and consumer goods industry remains high, suggesting that shoppers are increasingly appreciating the work of the sector throughout the pandemic.

“We are also seeing significant changes by region, reflecting how Covid-19 is impacting different parts of the country. As such, retailers need to keep an eye on how the pandemic is impacting different shopper groups as they plan for an evolving trading environment.

“This pace of change is going to make it harder to create any long, or even medium-term, category plans. Keeping on the pulse of how shoppers are feeling has never been so vital.”

The full IGD Shopper Confidence Index is available to subscribers on IGD ShopperVista.

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